MakeMyTrip Ltd (MMYT) Stock Research Report

MakeMyTrip: Dominant, High-Growth Online Travel Leader in India – But Priced for Perfection

Executive Summary

MakeMyTrip Limited is India’s premier online travel agency, operating marquee brands (MakeMyTrip, Goibibo, redBus) that offer comprehensive booking services for flights, hotels, packages, and ground transport. Serving both leisure and business travelers, MakeMyTrip has capitalized on a travel demand resurgence, recording new highs in bookings and profits post-pandemic. The company is deeply entrenched among India’s burgeoning middle class and is also expanding internationally. With a consolidated multi-segment platform, MakeMyTrip is the dominant force in India’s rapidly digitizing travel industry, uniquely positioned to capture the majority of sector growth.

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MakeMyTrip Ltd (MMYT) Investment Analysis:

1. Executive Summary:

MakeMyTrip Limited is India’s leading online travel services company, operating well-known brands including MakeMyTrip, Goibibo, and redBussec.gov. Through its websites and mobile apps, the company enables travelers to research, plan, and book a wide range of travel services both in India and abroadsec.gov. Key segments include Air Ticketing, Hotels & Packages (including alternative accommodations and holiday packages), Bus Ticketing, and ancillary offerings like rail tickets, car hires, travel insurance, foreign exchange, and visa assistancesec.gov. By offering a comprehensive one-stop platform for flights, lodging, and ground transport, MakeMyTrip serves the booming Indian travel market across both leisure and business travel. The company has achieved a strong post-pandemic recovery, delivering record gross bookings and profits in recent periods as travel demand resurgestravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Its primary customer base is the rapidly growing Indian middle class, but it also serves international markets (especially via bus ticketing and catering to Indian outbound travelers) and has expanded its global presence with offices in the US, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and beyonden.wikipedia.orgen.wikipedia.org. Overall, MakeMyTrip today stands as the dominant travel tech player in India’s online travel agency (OTA) industry, with a broad portfolio of travel services and a strong brand recognition in its home market.

2. Business Drivers & Strategic Overview:

Main Revenue Drivers: MakeMyTrip’s revenues are driven primarily by travel booking volumes (gross bookings) in flights, hotels, and bus tickets, which in turn reflect consumer travel demand. India’s travel industry has rebounded strongly after COVID-19, with both leisure and business travel now exceeding pre-pandemic levelstravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. This robust demand – fueled by rising disposable incomes, a growing middle class eager to travel, and easing pandemic restrictions – has led to double-digit growth in the company’s gross booking value and revenue. For example, gross bookings grew ~25.9% YoY in Fiscal 2025 to a record $9.8 billionsec.govsec.gov, driving a 25% YoY increase in IFRS revenue to $978 million in FY2025sec.gov. Within this, domestic travel (flights and hotels within India) is a core driver (over 90% of revenue is from Indiamarketscreener.com), supplemented by growing outbound travel bookings as more Indians venture abroad. The Hotels & Packages segment has become a key growth engine as Indians increasingly book accommodations and holiday packages online (this segment contributed over 53% of FY2025 revenue) alongside steady growth in Air ticketing (~25% of revenue) and high-growth Bus ticketing (~12%)sec.govsec.gov. Bus ticketing, led by the redBus brand, has seen especially strong post-pandemic recovery (segment revenue +28.8% YoY in FY2025) as inter-city bus travel shifted onlinesec.govsec.gov. Overall, the company’s multi-segment portfolio allows it to capture a large share of Indians’ travel wallet, from flights and hotels to ground transport.

Growth Initiatives: MakeMyTrip has pursued several strategic initiatives to sustain growth. First, it continues to expand its product offerings – for example, recently adding rail ticketing and car rentals as new categories (now reported under “Other Transport” gross bookings) to serve travelers’ end-to-end needssec.govsec.gov. It also invests in personalized user experiences and a rich technology platform (data science-driven recommendations, multilingual support, secure payments) to increase user engagement and repeat bookingssec.govsec.gov. The company’s “phygital” strategy extends reach into smaller cities via franchisee stores and partnerships, while its mobile-first approach (the app) capitalizes on India’s smartphone penetration. MakeMyTrip has a history of strategic acquisitions to fuel growth – notably the 2017 acquisition of rival Ibibo Group (including Goibibo and RedBus) which cemented its leadership in OTA and bus segmentsen.wikipedia.org. It also formed partnerships, such as integrating with Amazon Pay for travel bookingsen.wikipedia.org, to tap new customer pools. Management has emphasized growing international travel bookings (offering a wider selection of overseas hotels and flights for Indian travelers) as a future driver, given rising outbound tourism. Additionally, the company’s nascent financial services (TripMoney) and advertising initiatives provide optionality for incremental revenue – e.g. travel loans, travel insurance (via TripMoney) and monetizing its user base through ads. These growth initiatives are underpinned by a focus on customer acquisition and loyalty programs; MakeMyTrip does invest in marketing and promotions (including app-only discounts, loyalty points, etc.) to grow its user base, though it balances this with profitability goals by leveraging its scale.

Competitive Advantages: MakeMyTrip’s foremost advantage is its market leadership and brand strength in Indian travel. It enjoys top-of-mind brand awareness – independent surveys show “MakeMyTrip” as the first recall for ~62% of Indian travelers, far ahead of rivals (its Goibibo brand is also among the top) – which makes it a go-to platform for consumers planning trips. The company’s scale and breadth of inventory are difficult for competitors to replicate: MakeMyTrip aggregates all major domestic airlines, over 60,000 accommodation properties in India (from hotels to homestays), all key bus operators, and rail tickets in one platformsec.gov. This breadth provides customers a one-stop shop with extensive choice and price transparency, enhancing user convenience. Its multi-brand portfolio also lets it target different customer segments (e.g. Goibibo skews toward value-conscious travelers while MakeMyTrip targets a broader audience). Moreover, MakeMyTrip benefits from network effects – as the leading OTA, it attracts more travel suppliers to list deals on its platform (ensuring competitive pricing and inventory), which in turn attracts more customers. The company has also developed deep supplier relationships (with airlines, hotels, bus companies) and often negotiates special fares or allocations that smaller players cannot. Additionally, MakeMyTrip’s technology and data analytics capability serve as an advantage in personalization (suggesting relevant hotels or dynamic packages) and in operational efficiency (automation, scalable cloud infrastructure). Crucially, it has built a loyal customer base through its MyRewards loyalty program and the sheer convenience of its platform, resulting in high repeat booking rates. These factors, combined with significant marketing spend over the years, have entrenched MakeMyTrip as the premier online travel service in Indiatravel.economictimes.indiatimes.comtravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. New competitors – whether global players like Booking.com or local startups like EaseMyTrip – face an uphill task in dislodging its position, although competition remains a watchpoint (discussed in Risks). Overall, MakeMyTrip’s strategic focus on comprehensive service coverage, continuous innovation (e.g. travel fintech, partnerships), and leveraging its brand equity underpins its growth trajectory and competitive moat in the Indian travel ecosystem.

3. Financial Performance & Valuation:

Recent Performance (2024–2025): MakeMyTrip has delivered strong financial results in the last two fiscal years, reflecting a sharp rebound in travel activity. In Fiscal Year 2024 (year ended March 31, 2024), the company achieved record Gross Bookings of $7.95 billion (24.9% YoY growth) and Revenue (IFRS) of $782.5 million, up 35.7% year-on-yeartravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. This top-line growth was accompanied by significant margin expansion: Adjusted Operating Profit (a proxy for EBIT) reached $124.2 million for FY2024, surging from $70.3 million in FY2023travel.economictimes.indiatimes.comtravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Net profit for FY2024 was $216.7 million (versus a loss in FY2023), boosted by one-time gains like a deferred tax credit and a revaluation gain on convertible notestravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Excluding those one-offs, underlying profitability still improved markedly, indicating a return to sustainable positive earnings. This momentum continued into Fiscal Year 2025. For the full FY2025, MakeMyTrip’s revenue grew ~25% to $978.3 millionsec.gov (27.4% growth in constant currency) amid continued travel demand strength. Segment-wise, Hotels & Packages led revenue growth (+19.5% YoY in USD) followed by Bus Ticketing (+28.8% YoY) and Air Ticketing (+20.0%)sec.govsec.gov. Adjusted Operating Profit in FY2025 increased further to $167.3 million, a 35% YoY jumpsec.govsec.gov, as operating leverage and cost controls improved margins. The company’s Adjusted Net Profit (excluding non-cash and one-time items) was $178.2 million for FY2025, up ~30% YoYsec.govsec.gov, reflecting healthy operational earnings. However, reported IFRS net profit was lower at $95.3 million for FY2025sec.gov, primarily because the prior year’s net income had been inflated by those one-off gains which didn’t recur. Overall, FY2025 marked MakeMyTrip’s highest-ever revenue and a second consecutive year of profitability, underscoring a successful turnaround from the pandemic slump. The balance sheet is robust as well – as of March 2025, the company held $763.3 million in cash, equivalents and term deposits (including restricted cash) and negligible bank debtsec.gov, giving it ample liquidity for growth investments or strategic actions.

Current Valuation Multiples: MakeMyTrip’s stock has performed strongly in recent years, and as of mid-2025 trades at a premium valuation reflecting investors’ growth expectations. The share price recently hovered around $93–95 per shareindmoney.com, which at $93 implies a market capitalization of roughly $10.4 billionmarketbeat.com. This equates to high multiples on current earnings: the stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio (trailing) is over 110×marketbeat.com based on FY2025 IFRS net income ($95M). Even using adjusted net profit (~$178M), the P/E would be around 58×, indicating a rich valuation. In terms of sales, the EV/Sales multiple is approximately 8× FY2025 revenue (enterprise value is slightly below market cap given the net cash position). Such multiples are considerably higher than global online travel peers, suggesting that investors are pricing in years of strong growth ahead and/or a premium for MakeMyTrip’s dominant position in India. It’s worth noting that earnings are still in the early stages of normalization (the company only recently turned profitable), so traditional multiples like P/E are inflated by the low current earnings base. A forward P/E (based on projected earnings growth) would be lower; for instance, if net income were to grow to ~$200M+ in the next year or two, the forward P/E drops closer to ~40–50×. Similarly, the stock’s EV/EBITDA (adjusted) for FY2025 is elevated but expected to compress as EBITDA grows. MakeMyTrip’s valuation also factors in its strong balance sheet and potential optionality from new businesses.

Comparatively, analysts remain bullish despite the stock’s run-up: recent price targets have been in the $110–125 rangemarketbeat.com, implying further upside. For example, Citigroup raised its target to $125 (Buy rating) and Macquarie to $110 (Outperform) in mid-2025marketbeat.com, reflecting confidence in the company’s growth trajectory. At ~$93, the stock is about 24% below its 52-week high of $123marketbeat.com, possibly due to a recent large shareholder stake sale (Trip.com’s partial exit) and general market rotation – factors not directly tied to fundamentals. In summary, MakeMyTrip’s financial performance over 2024–25 has been strong, featuring rapid growth and a swing to profitability. The current valuation is demanding, pricing in continued growth and margin expansion. Investors must weigh this growth premium against the company’s execution ability and market opportunities. The high multiples leave less room for error, but if MakeMyTrip delivers on growth forecasts, the valuation can be justified by a “winner-take-most” position in a fast-growing market.

4. Risk Assessment & Macroeconomic Considerations:

MakeMyTrip faces several risks that investors should keep in mind:

  • Intense Competition: The Indian travel booking market is competitive, with both established players and new entrants vying for customers. Domestically, rivals like Yatra, Cleartrip (acquired by Flipkart), EaseMyTrip, and even Amazon (via a travel partnership) compete on price and promotions. Global OTA giants (Booking.com, Expedia) and aggregators (Google Travel) also target Indian users, especially for hotels. Heightened competition could pressure MakeMyTrip’s commission rates and force higher marketing spend to retain market sharecapedge.com. In its 20-F, the company noted that rising competition had prompted significantly increased spending on sales & marketing in prior yearscapedge.com. If a competitor offers better pricing or a superior user experience, MakeMyTrip risks losing customers, especially price-sensitive ones. The company’s response has been to leverage its scale and loyalty program, but this risk of a price war or market share erosion is ever-present. Additionally, disintermediation is a concern – airlines or hotels could push more direct bookings via their own apps with exclusive incentives, bypassing OTAs. Any reduction in inventory availability or affiliate partnerships (for example, if a major airline withdrew from OTA distribution) could impact MakeMyTrip’s offerings.

  • Regulatory and Geopolitical Risks: As a foreign-listed entity operating in India, MakeMyTrip navigates various regulatory environments. Indian regulations affecting e-commerce, foreign investment, or data localization could impose constraints. For instance, policies around service fees (e.g. caps on airline cancellation fees or commission rates) could impact revenue. Another recent factor is geopolitical tension: Chinese company Trip.com was the largest shareholder (holding ~49% post-2019), which became sensitive amid India-China tensions. Indeed, MakeMyTrip is in the process of buying back a large portion of Trip.com’s stake (reducing it to ~16.9%) to alleviate any political/regulatory concerns over Chinese ownershipinc42.com. While this move should curry favor with regulators and consumers, it involves a $2+ billion transaction and potential dilution (through a new share issue)inc42.com – effectively a significant capital maneuver that itself carries execution risk. On the geopolitical front, any event (pandemic resurgence, wars, terrorism) that curtails travel would directly hurt MakeMyTrip’s bookings. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated this vulnerability vividly (MakeMyTrip’s revenues plunged in FY2021). While the company emerged stronger, future shocks (e.g. new variants, regional conflicts) remain a risk for the travel industry.

  • Macroeconomic Factors: Travel is a discretionary expense, so macro conditions significantly influence MakeMyTrip’s performance. Economic Growth: India’s economy is currently robust (GDP grew ~6.2% YoY in the quarter ending Dec 2024investors.mmtcdn.com), providing tailwinds for consumer spending on travel. However, any macro downturn in India – caused by high inflation, rising interest rates damping consumer spending, or unemployment – could slow travel demand. A global recession would also impact inbound and outbound travel. Currency Risk: MakeMyTrip reports in USD but earns most revenue in INR; a weakening Indian rupee against the dollar could affect reported growth and also make outbound travel (a growth area) more expensive for Indian consumers, potentially softening demand for international flights/hotels. Conversely, rupee movements can benefit inbound tourism to India (though that’s a smaller part of MMT’s business). Cost Inflation: Higher oil prices can raise airfares, potentially reducing flight bookings, and inflation in hotel rates could deter budget travelers. The company must also manage operational costs – tech talent, marketing, etc. – which can rise with general inflation, squeezing margins if not offset by efficiency gains.

  • Execution & Integration Risks: As MakeMyTrip expands into new services (like rail booking, travel finance) and integrates acquisitions, execution challenges may arise. Ensuring a seamless user experience across flights, hotels, buses, and new categories is complex. Any tech glitches, cybersecurity breaches, or platform downtime could erode customer trust given the company’s reliance on its online platform. Additionally, successful integration of past acquisitions (Goibibo, RedBus) appears to have been achieved, but any future deals or partnerships would carry integration risk. The company’s venture into fintech (TripMoney offering travel loans/forex) introduces credit and compliance risks outside its core competency, though currently small in scale.

  • Seasonality and Cyclicality: The travel business has seasonal fluctuations – e.g. Q4 (Jan–Mar) is a typically slower period for leisure travel in Indiatravel.economictimes.indiatimes.comtravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com, while summer and festive seasons are peak. MakeMyTrip’s quarterly performance can thus vary, and investors must be cautious not to extrapolate one quarter’s growth as a constant trend. Additionally, travel is cyclical over economic cycles; after the current post-pandemic boom, growth rates could normalize to lower levels. The company’s high valuation leaves it vulnerable to any signs of growth deceleration.

In summary, macro trends are largely favorable in the near term – India’s rising middle class and digital adoption are structural positives for MakeMyTrip. The company is benefiting from a secular shift of travel bookings from offline to online, which still has room to grow (online penetration of travel in India is increasing year by year). Yet, investors should monitor the above risks. Major risks include the possibility of a price war or margin erosion from competition, regulatory changes or political issues (though the Chinese stake reduction is mitigating one concern), and macroeconomic or external shocks that could curtail travel demand. MakeMyTrip’s management has shown prudence (e.g. cutting costs during COVID, then capitalizing on the recovery), and the firm’s ample cash provides resiliencesec.gov. Still, the business is not immune to external risks, and its stock – priced for growth – could see significant volatility if any of these risks materialize.

5. 5-Year Scenario Analysis:

We project three 5-year scenarios for MakeMyTrip’s stock (total return in 5 years, by mid-2030), based on fundamental drivers. These scenarios – High, Base, and Low – are rooted in differing assumptions about the company’s revenue growth, margin trajectory, and valuation multiples, rather than simply extrapolating the current share price. All scenarios assume no dividends (consistent with the company’s growth focus), so total return is driven by share price appreciation.

High Case (Bullish Scenario – 5 Years): MakeMyTrip exceeds growth expectations. In this scenario, India’s travel market experiences accelerated growth (perhaps ~15–20% CAGR in online travel bookings) driven by a booming economy and high online adoption. MakeMyTrip not only maintains its market leadership but expands its share – leveraging its superior brand and technology to outpace smaller rivals. Annual revenue growth could average in the high-teens percentage (or ~20% CAGR), taking FY2030 revenue toward ~$2.4–2.5 billion (about 2.5× the FY2025 level). Importantly, the company achieves significant operating leverage: with scale, marketing spend as a percentage of bookings declines, and the fixed-cost base (technology, G&A) is better absorbed. We assume net profit margins improve to ~18–20% by 2030 (approaching the levels of more mature global peers, thanks to higher commission take-rates and efficiencies). This yields a projected FY2030 net income on the order of $450–500 million. If the market assigns a valuation multiple of ~25× earnings (appropriate for a growth company still expanding in a large market, albeit slower by 2030), the market capitalization in 5 years would be roughly $11–12.5 billion. Based on current shares outstanding (assuming some dilution from equity issuance but also offset by buybacks, netting to a similar share count around ~115 million), the implied share price in 5 years is approximately $140 (midpoint of ~$130–150). This represents an upside of about +50% from the current ~$93. Key fundamentals driving this bull case include sustained 20% annual revenue growth, continued dominance in all segments (with new categories like rail and corporate travel contributing meaningfully), and margin expansion via scale economies. Non-core assets (e.g. the TripMoney fintech arm or any equity investments) are assumed to add minor value in this scenario – for instance, if TripMoney’s success warrants a higher multiple or spin-off, it could incrementally boost the valuation, but we consider it within the 25× earnings multiple. Below is the share price trajectory we envision for the High case:

YearHigh Case Price
2025 (Current)$93
2026~$101
2027~$109
2028~$119
2029~$129
2030 (Projected)$140

Under the High scenario, MakeMyTrip’s strong fundamentals lead to a solid positive return, but notably this best-case outlook still only yields a moderate ~8% annualized return (given the starting valuation) – reflecting that a lot of optimism is already priced in. Probability (High case): 20% – this scenario assumes near-flawless execution and no major external headwinds, which while possible (given current momentum), is not the most likely outcome.

Base Case (Moderate Scenario – 5 Years): Steady growth, current leadership maintained. In our base case, MakeMyTrip performs in line with general expectations: the company continues to grow at a healthy pace, albeit slower than the post-pandemic spurt. Assume revenue CAGR ~12–15% for the next 5 years – driven by solid domestic travel growth and online penetration gains, but moderating as the market matures and competition keeps some pressure on take-rates. By FY2030, revenue might roughly double from FY2025, reaching around ~$1.9–2.0 billion. Adjusted operating margins expand modestly as efficiencies are partially offset by competitive expenses; we assume net profit margin stabilizes in the mid-teens (say ~15%). This would yield FY2030 net profit on the order of ~$300 million. We apply a somewhat lower terminal multiple in this scenario, reflecting a more mature growth profile – say 20× earnings. That multiple is still reasonable given mid-teens growth at that time and MakeMyTrip’s likely strong market position (for context, global OTA leader Booking Holdings often trades around 15–20× earnings in a steady state). A $300M net income at 20× would imply a market cap of ~$6.0 billion in 2030. If the share count remains around 115 million, the implied share price in 5 years would be about $110. This is only moderately above the current price – indicating a cumulative return of roughly +18% (about 3.4% annually). The base case fundamentals assume no major diversification premium or sum-of-parts additions – MakeMyTrip remains essentially an OTA business, with perhaps minor contributions from side ventures but not enough to significantly alter valuation. The trajectory in this scenario might be:

YearBase Case Price
2025 (Current)$93
2026~$96
2027~$100
2028~$104
2029~$108
2030 (Projected)$110

In the Base case, MakeMyTrip delivers decent growth but the stock’s performance is modest, reflecting that its current high valuation captures much of the anticipated growth. Total 5-year return would be positive but not spectacular. Probability (Base case): 50% – we view this steady-growth scenario as the most likely, given the company’s strengths tempered by normal industry competition and the law of large numbers as revenues scale.

Low Case (Bearish Scenario – 5 Years): Underperformance or external shocks lead to stagnation. In the low scenario, a combination of factors result in much slower growth and compressed valuation. For instance, Indian travel growth could slow to a crawl due to economic stagnation or a major shock (e.g. a severe and sustained recession, geopolitical conflict, or another pandemic-like event hitting travel). Additionally, competition might intensify – perhaps a deep-pocketed rival (say, a global player or a domestic consortium) aggressively undercuts prices or captures a segment of the market, eroding MakeMyTrip’s share or forcing it to spend heavily (hurting margins). In this scenario, we might see revenue growth fall to low single-digits (or effectively flat in some years). Over 5 years, revenue might grow at ~5–8% CAGR, reaching only about ~$1.5–1.6 billion by FY2030. Profitability could also suffer: increased marketing costs or lower take-rates could keep net margins around 10% or below. It’s conceivable that MakeMyTrip could even slip back into break-even if conditions are bad (e.g. if there’s a price war and a travel downturn). Let’s assume by 2030, net profit is ~$150–180 million (or even less if margins shrink). The market, seeing a combination of low growth and higher uncertainty, would likely assign a much lower multiple – perhaps ~15× earnings or even a P/E in the low teens, akin to a no-growth company. At, say, 15× $160M, market cap would be ~$2.4 billion. Depending on share count (which could actually increase in this scenario if the company issues equity for survival or M&A, but let’s assume ~120M shares after some dilution), the share price in 5 years might be only $50 (range $45–60). We choose $60 as a plausible low-case outcome for the share price (to illustrate a less dire, but still negative, return). That is a significant drop (–35%) from current levels. The implied trajectory:

YearLow Case Price
2025 (Current)$93
2026~$85
2027~$78
2028~$72
2029~$66
2030 (Projected)$60

This Low case would be realized if macro and competitive pressures converge to hamstring MakeMyTrip’s growth – for example, a slowdown in travel spend plus loss of share to alternatives (including direct booking channels or super-apps). It’s a pessimistic but not impossible scenario, considering the travel industry’s vulnerability to shocks. Probability (Low case): 30% – while not the base expectation, there is a meaningful chance that growth disappoints (due to macro or strategic missteps), given the uncertainties in the travel sector.

Probability-Weighted Outcome: Assigning subjective probabilities to each scenario (High 20%, Base 50%, Low 30%), the expected 5-year price would be around $103 (20%$140 + 50%$110 + 30%*$60). This weighted outcome is slightly above the current price, suggesting a modestly positive expected return. Essentially, the upside and downside scenarios are somewhat balanced, with a slight tilt toward optimism. It indicates that, at present valuations, MakeMyTrip’s stock is pricing in a lot of good news, and only in the more bullish scenario does it materially outperform. The probability-weighted analysis yields a 5-year price target in the low $100s, which would equate to a low single-digit annualized return for investors. This suggests the stock is fairly valued to slightly overvalued relative to mid-term fundamentals, unless the company can consistently beat growth expectations or develop new value drivers.

High, Base, Low Summary: Based on the above, our High case sees MakeMyTrip compounding value steadily (but not explosively), our Base case projects modest gains, and our Low case highlights capital loss risk if growth falters. In all scenarios, it’s notable that extreme returns (either way) are somewhat capped by the starting valuation – the high case isn’t a multi-bagger and the low case still envisions a viable business (not a zero). Investors should calibrate expectations accordingly and focus on fundamental progress over the next few years. Overall 5-Year Outlook: Balanced Upside 【Summary】Bold Conclusion: “Balanced Upside” (This indicates a cautiously optimistic stance, with moderate weighted upside but considerable execution risk.)

(Note: The above scenarios are fundamental projections; real-world outcomes will depend on actual earnings and market sentiment. These scenarios illustrate potential paths and are not precise forecasts.)*

Bold summary in 1-3 words: Balanced Upside

6. Qualitative Scorecard:

Let’s evaluate MakeMyTrip on key qualitative factors, scoring each on a 1–10 scale:

  • Management Alignment (Score: 7/10): MakeMyTrip’s leadership team is seasoned and founder-led, but direct ownership by management is relatively limited. Co-founders Deep Kalra (Chairman) and Rajesh Magow (CEO) together hold only about 4.6% of voting rightsm.economictimes.com, which is a modest stake. While this means management isn’t heavily invested personally (reducing alignment in one sense), both founders have been with the company since inception and have guided it through multiple cycles, indicating strong commitment. Management’s incentives include stock-based compensation (which the company does utilize significantly), aligning their interests with shareholder value to an extentsec.govsec.gov. We also note that MakeMyTrip has an active share repurchase plan – in FY2025 the company even bought back ~$21.7 million worth of sharessec.gov – which suggests management and the board are mindful of shareholder returns (albeit the buyback was small relative to market cap). Insiders have not been selling large stakes in the open market recently, and one major insider action was the reduction of the Chinese investor’s holding, a move likely aimed at safeguarding the company’s future (which indirectly benefits all shareholders). Overall, the management gets good marks for stewardship and long-term focus, but the relatively low insider ownership and ongoing equity dilution from stock comp temper the alignment score slightly. On balance, management appears mission-focused and reasonably aligned with shareholders’ interests, if not exceptionally so.

  • Revenue Quality (Score: 7/10): The quality of MakeMyTrip’s revenue is moderate-to-good. On the positive side, the company has diversified revenue streams – air ticketing, hotels, bus bookings, etc. – which means it isn’t overly reliant on a single product line. Revenue is largely transaction-based and comes from commissions/mark-ups which are recurring in nature as travel demand recurs each year. The company benefits from a high volume of repeat customers (loyal users rebooking), giving some implicit recurring revenue characteristics even though there’s no subscription model. Additionally, MakeMyTrip’s revenue growth has been broad-based across segments, indicating resilience (e.g. in Q4 FY2024 all segments saw YoY growth, with particularly strong growth in hotels and bus ticketingtravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com). That said, there are some quality concerns: travel revenue is inherently cyclical and seasonal, which can make cash flows volatile. The company also engages in promotions that effectively reduce net revenue (e.g. customer incentives and loyalty points are accounted as a revenue reductionsec.gov). This means part of the “revenue” is paid for via marketing spend to stimulate demand – not all of it is purely organic. During heavy competitive periods, MakeMyTrip has had to offer steep discounts (which lower net revenue yield per booking). Furthermore, a significant portion of hotel revenue is recognized on a “gross” basis (with corresponding cost of sales), whereas air ticketing is on a “net” basis – this mix can affect the quality (gross revenue doesn’t equate to gross profit). But given the company’s improving Adjusted Margin (which adds back incentives) and strong brand, we view its revenue as relatively high-quality for an OTA – it has a stable take-rate, low refund risk (as it generally passes cancellations through to airlines/hotels), and a growing contribution from higher-margin segments like hotels. Overall, revenue quality scores in the upper-middle range: diverse and growing, but subject to the vagaries of the travel industry.

  • Market Position (Score: 9/10): MakeMyTrip holds a commanding market position in India’s online travel sector. It is often described as India’s premier travel service providertravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com, a status reflected in its dominant brand recognition and user base. The company enjoys an approximate majority share in online flight and hotel bookings among OTAs, and through redBus it controls a lion’s share of online bus ticketing. Its nearest traditional competitors (Yatra, Cleartrip, etc.) are significantly smaller or have been acquired, and newer competitors (EaseMyTrip) while growing, remain niche in comparison. MakeMyTrip’s market leadership is underpinned by strong brand equity – for many consumers “MakeMyTrip” is synonymous with online travel booking in India. Surveys indicate it has by far the highest top-of-mind awareness among travel brandssec.gov. The company’s multi-brand strategy (with Goibibo) ensures it covers both premium and budget segments, preventing upstarts from easily undercutting it in any niche. Moreover, MakeMyTrip’s long-standing relationships with suppliers yield comprehensive inventory and often exclusive deals, reinforcing a network effect moat. Even global players have found it hard to penetrate India against MakeMyTrip’s home-court advantage (Booking.com, for example, is used for international hotels but has not displaced MMT for domestic travel). Market position is also buoyed by partnerships (like the Amazon Pay integration, and investments from strategic players historically) which ensure MMT is ingrained in the ecosystem. The only reason not to give a perfect 10 is the presence of some competition – e.g., direct airline booking still commands a chunk of flight sales, and Google’s travel search could redirect some customers – but in the OTA domain, MakeMyTrip is unquestionably the leader. The trajectory in recent years (especially post-pandemic) shows it gaining strength: it emerged from COVID with consolidated competition (its smaller rivals weakened) and captured the pent-up demand, even surpassing pre-pandemic volume on its platformstravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Thus, on market position, MakeMyTrip scores very high, reflecting a near “winner-takes-most” scenario in its core market.

  • Growth Outlook (Score: 8/10): The growth prospects for MakeMyTrip are strong, albeit not without limits. The tailwinds are significant: India’s travel and tourism sector is expected to grow faster than GDP for the foreseeable future, with a young population eager to travel and increasing internet penetration driving online bookings. There is still substantial headroom for online penetration – a large portion of travel bookings in India (especially hotels and bus/train tickets) are still done offline, which provides a runway for organic growth as these transactions move online. MakeMyTrip, as the market leader, is positioned to capture a large share of this shift. Additionally, rising income levels mean more discretionary spend on travel (both domestic vacations and international trips), supporting high-teens growth in segments like hotels & packages. Indeed, MakeMyTrip’s own recent performance – 25–30% YoY constant currency revenue growth in FY2024–25sec.govsec.gov – underscores robust momentum. That said, we temper the outlook a bit because such high growth rates will likely moderate. After the post-COVID surge, we expect growth to normalize to perhaps mid-teens in the medium term (as reflected in our Base scenario). Competition and market saturation in certain categories (e.g., air ticketing is already heavily penetrated online) could slow the pace. Also, macroeconomic factors (inflation, rupee value) could make growth choppier year to year. Nonetheless, MakeMyTrip is also expanding into adjacent segments (like rail ticketing, corporate travel via Quest2Travel acquisitionen.wikipedia.org, and travel fintech) which provide additional growth avenues on top of the core OTA business. The company’s ability to cross-sell multiple services to the same customer (increasing wallet share per user) can bolster growth beyond just new customer acquisition. On balance, we see an above-average growth trajectory ahead, though not as explosive as during the initial internet adoption phase or the immediate post-lockdown rebound. We score 8/10: strong double-digit growth likely, supported by secular trends (digital adoption, rising travel demand), with slight caution due to potential normalization and competitive dynamics.

  • Financial Health (Score: 9/10): MakeMyTrip’s financial position is very robust. The company has built up a large cash reserve (over $760 million in cash and term deposits as of Mar 2025sec.gov) and carries minimal debt. In fact, its only significant debt – a 0% convertible bond due 2028 – was mostly converted or repaid by FY2025, leaving just $14 million in long-term borrowings on the balance sheetsec.govsec.gov (effectively negligible relative to equity). This net cash position gives MakeMyTrip ample flexibility to weather downturns or invest in growth opportunities. The current ratio (~1.85) and quick ratio (1.85) are healthymarketbeat.com, indicating sufficient working capital; the company generally operates with a negative working capital cycle (customer prepayments). Moreover, MakeMyTrip’s operations are now cash-generative – FY2025 operating cash flow was positive ($125.7M net cash from ops)sec.gov, and with profitability achieved, we expect internal cash generation to fund ongoing needs. Capital expenditures are relatively low (the business is not asset-heavy), mainly consisting of technology development and maybe office leases. Another sign of financial prudence: during the COVID crisis, management aggressively cut costs to preserve cash, enabling the company to avoid distress without massive dilution. Since then, they have even returned cash via buybacks. The reason we give 9 and not 10 is the upcoming deployment of cash for the Trip.com stake repurchase – MakeMyTrip is reportedly raising and spending ~$2–3 billion to buy back shares from its largest shareholderinc42.com. Depending on how this is financed (likely a mix of new equity and cash), the net cash could decrease. However, even post-deal, the company should remain financially solid, just with a different shareholder mix. Additionally, currency fluctuations can affect the USD value of the company’s predominantly INR cash holdings, but this is a minor consideration. All said, MakeMyTrip’s balance sheet strength and low leverage significantly de-risk the investment – it has no liquidity issues and can invest for growth without external funding if needed. Hence the high score for financial health.

  • Business Viability (Score: 8/10): This factor assesses whether the company’s business model is sustainable long-term. We believe MakeMyTrip’s business is fundamentally viable and resilient. Online travel agencies have proven their model globally – providing value by aggregating options and simplifying booking – and MakeMyTrip has tailored this model successfully to India. The service it provides (travel booking) will remain in demand as travel is a deeply ingrained consumer need. The company has survived various challenges (from dot-com bust to 9/11, multiple recessions, and most notably COVID-19) and emerged stronger, which is a testament to its viability and adaptability. One aspect underpinning viability is that MakeMyTrip operates an asset-light, platform model – it doesn’t own planes or hotels; it’s essentially a tech intermediary. This gives it flexibility to scale costs up or down with demand (as seen in 2020 when it reduced expenses drastically to survive). Furthermore, MakeMyTrip’s diversification across travel modes (air, hotel, bus, etc.) means the business is not solely tied to one travel vertical – if one segment faces headwinds, others (like driving holidays boosting car/bus bookings) can compensate. A potential threat to viability is disintermediation: if suppliers or new tech bypass OTAs (for example, if travelers overwhelmingly preferred direct airline apps or if a super-app consolidated travel bookings), it could undermine MMT’s role. However, given consumer behavior and the fragmentation of travel options, OTAs like MMT should continue to play a key role. Another consideration: regulatory changes (like GST on service fees, etc.) could tweak the economics but not abolish the need for the service. The business also benefits from network effects and brand loyalty, which make it harder to disrupt. We give an 8/10 because while the model is sound, it’s not invulnerable – technology giants (Google, etc.) could try to commoditize the search function of travel, and travel aggregators must continually innovate. Also, being primarily India-focused, the company’s fortunes are somewhat tied to one geography (though India’s prospects are good). Overall, MakeMyTrip’s business is viable and likely to be around for the long haul, with the caveat that it must keep evolving with consumer trends to avoid obsolescence.

  • Capital Allocation (Score: 8/10): MakeMyTrip’s capital allocation track record is solid. The company has generally deployed capital in ways that have strengthened its business rather than empire-building for the sake of it. Key evidence: the Ibibo/Goibibo acquisition in 2017, which was a major use of stock and cash, has been largely successful – it eliminated a major competitor and added valuable brands (Goibibo, redBus) to the portfolio, contributing to the market leadership and improved profitability we see today. The company has also made smaller acquisitions/investments (holidayIQ, Quest2Travel, BookMyForex via TripMoneyen.wikipedia.org) that align with its core or adjacent businesses, indicating a strategic fit mindset. Importantly, management demonstrated discipline during downturns by cutting costs instead of, say, taking on excessive debt; they also didn’t panic-raise dilutive equity at the bottom of COVID, which protected shareholders. Now that the company is profitable, it initiated a share buyback program – while modest (repurchasing ~$22M in FY2025)sec.gov, it shows willingness to return excess cash when appropriate. Additionally, MakeMyTrip has authorized repurchases of its convertible notes, which could reduce potential dilution from those notessec.govsec.gov. The current plan to buy back Trip.com’s large stake by raising funds is a more complex capital decision: it appears aimed at strategic independence (perhaps politically motivated), but it will increase shares outstanding in the short term via the new equity issue. Some might question issuing equity at high prices to buy shares from an exiting investor – effectively a transfer from new shareholders to the seller. However, if this removes an overhang and satisfies regulators, it could be a long-term wise move. Capital allocation could be improved by perhaps accelerating the pace of buybacks, given cash on hand and positive cash flow – the company could offset dilution from stock comp more aggressively. There is also the question of whether the company will ever initiate dividends; currently, it’s rightfully reinvesting in growth. Overall, MakeMyTrip’s capital allocation is strategically sound: invest in growth (tech, marketing) when ROI is high, make acquisitions that consolidate position, and return cash opportunistically. We don’t see signs of egregious waste (no unrelated diversifications, etc.). The score is 8/10, with the Trip.com stake deal being the one major allocation to watch (execution and integration of new large shareholders). So far, management has earned a reputation for prudent capital moves that build shareholder value over time.

  • Analyst Sentiment (Score: 8/10): Sell-side and market sentiment toward MakeMyTrip is largely positive at present. The stock is followed by multiple analysts (given its NASDAQ listing and nearly $10B market cap), and the consensus has been trending bullish. In mid-2025, major firms upgraded the stock: Macquarie shifted from Neutral to Outperform with a $110 target, and Citigroup reiterated a Buy and raised the target to $125marketbeat.com. The fact that these targets are above the current price indicates optimistic expectations for further upside. Overall, the analyst community has highlighted MakeMyTrip’s strong execution and the favorable industry backdrop as key positives. There is little in the way of bearish coverage – even historically skeptical voices have softened (e.g., one research note moved from a Sell to Hold ratingmarketbeat.com). On the quantitative side, over 50% of the stock is owned by institutions and hedge fundsmarketbeat.com, suggesting confidence among professional investors. The recent stake increase by an investor like Steadview Capital (who made MMYT its 8th largest position)marketbeat.com also reflects bullish sentiment. We give 8/10 because while sentiment is clearly positive, it’s not at euphoric extremes (which is good – a bit of skepticism remains in some hold ratings). Also, the share price’s pullback from highs shows the market is not uniformly exuberant; there are concerns about valuation which temper sentiment slightly. But in general, MakeMyTrip is regarded as a high-quality growth story, and analysts continue to cite its “top pick” potential in India’s internet sector. The strong institutional support and upward revisions in estimates (after each earnings beat in recent quarters) reinforce the favorable sentiment. Barring any unexpected negative developments, we expect analyst sentiment to remain in the bullish camp, which can provide a supportive backdrop for the stock.

  • Profitability (Score: 7/10): After many years of losses or thin margins, MakeMyTrip has turned the corner to profitability, but it’s still in the early stages of demonstrating strong profit metrics. The positive: FY2024 and FY2025 saw substantial improvement in operating profits – Adjusted Operating Profit grew to $167.3M in FY2025sec.gov, which is about 17% of revenue in adjusted terms, a respectable operating margin for a tech-based travel intermediary. The company’s Adjusted Net Profit margin in FY2025 was ~18.2%sec.govsec.gov, indicating the underlying business, excluding non-cash costs, has healthy profitability. On a GAAP basis, net margin was ~9.7% ($95M profit on $978M revenue)sec.govsec.gov – positive but leaving room for improvement. Gross margins (or take-rates) remain solid: the Adjusted Margin across segments collectively was about $1.0B in FY2025sec.govsec.gov, roughly 10.2% of gross bookings, and this margin% has been inching upwards as the mix shifts to higher-margin hotels and packages. The profit trajectory is clearly up – from a net loss of $11M in FY2023 to a net profit of $216M in FY2024 (boosted by one-offs) and $95M (clean) in FY2025. The company’s ability to generate profit even in a “seasonally slow” quarter like Q4 FY2024 (Adjusted EBIT $32M)travel.economictimes.indiatimes.com demonstrates a new era of profitability. However, at present profitability is not yet at an elite level: EBITDA margins, while improving, are lower than those of global peers like Booking Holdings (which enjoys ~35% EBITDA margins). MakeMyTrip is still investing heavily in marketing and tech, which caps near-term profits. Also, stock-based compensation and amortization of intangibles (from acquisitions) weigh on IFRS profits. As these expenses continue, reported net income will understate cash earnings somewhat. We assign 7/10 reflecting that profitability is good but not great: the company has crossed break-even and has a path to higher margins, but currently ROI metrics (ROE, ROIC) are modest given the still-evolving profit base. The expectation is that as revenue grows, incremental margins will be high (because fixed costs are covered), so profitability could rise to an 8 or 9 in a few years. But until we see sustained double-digit net margins and strong free cash flow yield, we’ll be a bit conservative. The trend is positive – e.g., Adjusted Operating Profit nearly tripled from FY2022 to FY2025investors.mmtcdn.com – so we’re inclined to view profitability as on the right trajectory, albeit currently in mid-range.

  • Track Record (Score: 8/10): MakeMyTrip has a mixed but ultimately successful track record of creating shareholder value. Since its NASDAQ IPO in 2010, the company has navigated numerous challenges while growing tremendously in scale. Early investors have seen the stock appreciate from the IPO price (~$14) to the current ~$90s, a >6x increase (roughly 13% CAGR over 15 years), which is solid. However, the journey was volatile: there were periods where the stock underperformed (e.g., mid-2010s when heavy competition and losses weighed it down). The track record of strategic decisions is largely positive: the bold acquisition of Ibibo in 2016–17 was a turning point that ultimately created a more dominant and profitable entity – even though it involved short-term losses, it set the stage for long-term value (as evidenced by record profits now)travel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Management also demonstrated foresight by raising capital when needed (e.g., attracting investments from Ctrip/Trip.com and Naspers in 2016-2019 to strengthen the balance sheet for growth). In terms of operations, the company has generally met or exceeded its growth guidance (when given) and rebounded strongly after setbacks. The most impressive part of the track record is how MakeMyTrip bounced back after COVID-19 – it went from a massive revenue collapse in 2020 to delivering its best-ever financial performance in FY2024travel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. Not all companies in travel managed that, and it speaks to resilience and effective management execution. On innovation, MakeMyTrip has stayed relevant for 20+ years, adopting mobile early, leveraging data, etc., which shows a track record of adapting to consumer trends. From a shareholder perspective, the company hasn’t paid dividends, but that’s expected for a growth stock – instead, value was created through stock price appreciation and improved fundamentals. Over the past five years, MMYT stock significantly outperformed broader indices, especially after the pandemic trough (the stock is up manyfold from its 2020 lows around $15). The company’s annualized revenue growth since 2010 is very high (they went from ~$33M revenue in 2010 to $978M in 2025), illustrating strong execution of a growth storyen.wikipedia.orgtravel.economictimes.indiatimes.com. We assign 8/10 – acknowledging some bumps historically (periods of losses, share dilution via SBC and equity raises, etc.), but crediting the team for ultimately building substantial shareholder value and dominating their market. The slight deduction is because the company took ~15 years to achieve sustained profitability, which tested investors’ patience, and because the stock’s lofty valuation today owes partly to future expectations (i.e., not all value is realized yet). Nonetheless, MakeMyTrip’s track record overall inspires confidence: it has delivered on becoming the category leader and has rewarded believers in the long run.

Overall Blended Score: Averaging across these metrics, MakeMyTrip scores roughly 8 out of 10 on a qualitative basis. This composite reflects a company that is strong in most areas – with particular strengths in market leadership, financial stability, and growth prospects – while being weaker in a few (e.g., still-maturing profitability and moderate insider ownership). An overall score of 8/10 indicates a high-quality business with good management, positioned in a favorable market, but priced for perfection (leaving moderate risk if execution slips). Investors should feel generally confident in the company’s fundamentals, even as they monitor the noted risks.

Qualitative Summary: Solid Standing

7. Conclusion & Investment Thesis:

Investment Thesis: MakeMyTrip offers a compelling play on India’s booming digital travel market, with a dominant competitive position and improving profitability, but its current valuation already embeds significant growth expectations. The company’s overall outlook is positive – it stands to benefit from powerful tailwinds such as rising disposable incomes, increasing travel spending by India’s young population, and the ongoing shift from offline to online bookings. MakeMyTrip’s entrenched brand and broad service offering position it as a prime beneficiary of these trends. We expect the company to continue growing revenues at a healthy clip in coming years, albeit likely moderating from the recent breakneck pace to more normalized growth. Margins should expand gradually as operating leverage kicks in and as the higher-margin hotels/packages business grows as a share of the mix. This fundamental progress could drive solid earnings growth, supporting the stock over the long term.

However, upside potential must be weighed against the fact that a lot of good news is already reflected in the stock’s premium valuation. At ~8x sales and triple-digit P/E, MakeMyTrip’s stock assumes strong execution and little room for disappointment. The base-case scenario we modeled suggests only modest returns from current levels, meaning investors are betting on the company to exceed current consensus to justify substantial further gains. That said, MakeMyTrip does have some catalysts that could unlock more value or alter the narrative favorably:

  • Key Catalysts: One catalyst is the completion of the Trip.com stake reduction. This event (likely closing in mid-2025) could remove the overhang of a large shareholder potentially selling. If MakeMyTrip successfully places those shares with long-term institutional investors (as indicated by Mirae Asset and others stepping in for a major stakemarketscreener.com), it could improve the stock’s demand/supply dynamic and governance profile. Another catalyst is the continued post-pandemic travel boom: if travel demand remains higher for longer (e.g. India sees an air travel renaissance, new airports, higher tourism), MakeMyTrip’s growth could surprise to the upside. On the corporate side, any move to list the company’s shares on an Indian exchange or raise its profile locally could unlock value by accessing a new investor base (though no concrete plan for this is announced). Additionally, margin expansion milestones – for instance, if the company starts reporting GAAP net margins in the mid-teens or initiates a dividend/bigger buyback as free cash flow grows – would signal maturation and could attract a new class of investors, potentially boosting the stock’s appeal. Lastly, strategic developments such as a partnership or partial acquisition by a global OTA (similar to how Booking Holdings invested in other regional OTAs) could be a wild-card catalyst, although the company’s current trajectory suggests it doesn’t need outside help.

Key Risks: On the flip side, there are notable risks that could derail the thesis. Competitive pressure is foremost – any aggressive move by a competitor (like deep discounting or exclusive airline tie-ups by a rival platform) could hurt MakeMyTrip’s growth or margins. We will be watching how Amazon’s travel offering (in partnership with MMT currently) evolves; if Amazon were to go it alone in travel, that could pose a threat. Macroeconomic and travel industry risks remain; a downturn in the Indian economy or exogenous shock to travel (epidemic, geopolitical conflict) would directly impact bookings. The stock’s high valuation also means sentiment risk – even small earnings misses or guidance downgrades could cause an outsized correction in share price. Finally, execution risk around the integration of new services (like rail booking, forex, etc.) is something to monitor; while these are growth opportunities, any missteps could be a distraction or cost drain.

Thesis Summary: In summary, MakeMyTrip is a market leader with multiple growth levers, a strong balance sheet, and a proven ability to navigate adversity. These qualities support a constructive long-term view on the business. However, the investment case at the current price is nuanced: the company is high quality, but the stock is high-priced. We anticipate moderate stock gains in a base-case scenario, with the potential for better returns if India’s travel market outperforms or if MakeMyTrip executes flawlessly (our high-case scenario). Conversely, the stock could underperform if growth normalizes faster or if competition bites (our low-case scenario shows the downside). Thus, investors should approach with a balanced perspective – it’s a growth stock that likely deserves a spot on one’s watchlist or portfolio for exposure to Indian consumer tech, yet position sizing should account for the valuation risk.

For investors with a 5+ year horizon, MakeMyTrip offers exposure to an attractive secular trend (digital travel in India) led by a best-in-class operator. The core thesis is that MakeMyTrip will continue to capitalize on travel tailwinds and consolidate its dominance, translating into steady earnings growth, which over time should justify its premium valuation. One might phrase the investment stance as “cautiously optimistic”: bullish on the company, mindful on the stock. We conclude that MakeMyTrip is a high-quality growth company – one that is worth owning if acquired at a reasonable price or as a part of a diversified growth portfolio, but one should be prepared for volatility and monitor execution closely.

Conclusion – Investment Thesis in 1-3 words: Cautiously Optimistic

8. Technical Analysis, Price Action & Short-Term Outlook:

MakeMyTrip’s stock has recently been in a consolidation phase after a strong rally in 2023-early 2024. The shares currently trade in the mid-$90s, which is below the 200-day moving average (around $102) and also below the 50-day moving average (~$100)marketbeat.com. This suggests that the short-term trend has weakened – the stock has been under some technical pressure in recent months. The pullback from its 52-week high of $123 down to the $90s came as investors likely took profits and as news emerged of a large shareholder (Trip.com) reducing its stake (creating temporary supply in the market). Recent news impacts – such as the announced $2Bn primary offering to fund the stake repurchaseinc42.com – have introduced uncertainty and likely contributed to the stock’s rangebound trading, as traders assess the dilution and new ownership mix. Despite these factors, the stock found support in the high-$80s to low-$90s, indicating buyers stepping in at those levels. In the short-term outlook, the stock may continue to trade sideways in a range, roughly $90–100, until there is a fresh catalyst (such as the next earnings report or completion of the stake sale). The relative strength index (RSI) is not at extremes, and volume patterns suggest neither panic selling nor a new uptrend – essentially a neutral short-term momentum. If MakeMyTrip can climb back above the $100 level (and its 200-day MA), it would signal a resumption of upward momentum; conversely, a break below $90 could indicate further near-term downside. Given the overall fundamental strength, our short-term view is that the stock is likely to grind rather than make any dramatic moves – possibly consolidating its gains from the past year and digesting the recent share supply. Barring any unforeseen news, a catalyst like an earnings beat on July 22, 2025 (next earnings date) could spark a test of the $100+ area, whereas any soft guidance could see a retest of support around $80-85. In brief, the near-term outlook is mixed-to-neutral, with the stock in a holding pattern awaiting clarity on the shareholder changes and the next fundamental data point.

Short-Term Summary (1-3 words): Holding Pattern

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