Travelzoo (TZOO) Stock Research Report

Travelzoo’s membership pivot is exiting the ‘profitability paradox’ and entering a renewal-driven margin flywheel with visible deferred revenue and improving CAC.

Executive Summary

Travelzoo is at an inflection point in its multi-year pivot to a subscription-based travel club. 2025 represented the ‘valley’ of the transition: heavy member acquisition spend (CAC peaking near $40) compressed GAAP earnings because marketing costs were expensed immediately while subscription fees were recognized over time, culminating in a weak-looking Q4 2025 (near-zero EPS) despite revenue growth. Q1 2026 provided confirmation that the flywheel is working: EPS of $0.23 materially beat expectations, membership fee revenue nearly doubled to $4.6M, deferred revenue rose to $10.7M, and CAC improved to ~$27 in the U.S. Segmentally, North America remains the profit engine while Europe returned to operating profit. Buybacks continued, magnifying per-share earnings leverage as renewals scale.

Full Research Report

The Strategic Transformation of Travelzoo: An Analytical Deep Dive into the Subscription Pivot, Financial Inflection, and Future Outlook in the Global Travel Ecosystem

The global travel and media landscape has undergone a seismic shift in the post-pandemic era, moving away from fragmented, search-driven deal aggregation toward integrated, high-trust membership models. Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) stands at the center of this evolution, having embarked on a high-stakes transition from a traditional advertising-supported media platform to a recurring-revenue subscription club. This strategic redirection, initiated in earnest during 2024, reached a definitive financial inflection point in the first quarter of 2026. The shift seeks to address the structural vulnerabilities of the digital advertising market—namely the dominance of global search giants and the volatility of transactional travel spend—by building a stable, predictable, and defensible economic moat around a proprietary audience of 30 million travel enthusiasts.[1, 2]

The core of the Travelzoo thesis now rests on the "J-curve" recovery of its operating margins. As the company aggressively invested in member acquisition throughout 2025, it incurred significant front-loaded costs that were expensed immediately under standard accounting practices, while the resulting subscription revenue was deferred and recognized ratably over twelve-month periods.[3, 4] This accounting mismatch created a temporary "profitability paradox" where rapid business growth manifested as earnings compression. However, the results of the first quarter of 2026 suggest that the "renewal cycle"—where members renew their subscriptions with near-zero additional acquisition cost—is beginning to drive substantial operating leverage.[5, 6]

The Architecture of the Pivot: Transitioning from Aggregator to Club

The historical identity of Travelzoo was built on the "Top 20" list—a curated selection of travel deals sent to a massive email distribution list. While this model generated significant advertising and commerce revenue for over two decades, it lacked the stability of recurring income. By 2024, management recognized that the "Expert Vetting" process—the company’s primary differentiator—was a service for which consumers were willing to pay a premium.[7]

The introduction of the Travelzoo Club Membership represented a fundamental re-engineering of the user experience. Legacy members, those who had joined the platform prior to 2024, were gradually transitioned into the new structure. While these members continue to receive certain general offers, the most high-value, "rigorously vetted" Club Offers and premium benefits were locked behind the membership fee.[1, 8] This tiering strategy was designed to convert the most affluent and active segments of the 30-million-traveler reach into a stable revenue base.

The Pricing Strategy and Value Proposition

On January 1, 2026, Travelzoo implemented a significant price increase for its U.S. membership, raising the annual fee for new members from $40 to $50.[7, 9] Existing members were provided a window through February 1, 2026, to renew at the legacy $40 rate, a tactic that likely pulled forward a surge of renewals in the first quarter.[5, 9] This pricing power is supported by an expanding suite of benefits that move the membership beyond simple deal access:

Membership Benefit Feature Description Strategic Significance
Exclusive Club Offers Vetted deals not available on the public web. Core differentiator and primary conversion driver.
Top 20® Early Access First choice on limited-availability deals. Appeals to high-intent, frequent travelers.
Global Lounge Access Complimentary access if flights are delayed >1 hour. High-perceived-value benefit with low utilization cost.
Travel Enthusiast Hotline™ 24/7 assistance provided in partnership with Allianz. Enhances trust and safety during international travel.
Travelzoo META Immersive, virtual discovery experiences. Positions the brand for future tech adoption (Q2 2026 launch).

[1, 7, 10]

The strategic significance of these additions cannot be overstated. By providing lounge access and a 24/7 hotline, Travelzoo is effectively competing with high-end credit card benefits (e.g., American Express Platinum) at a fraction of the cost ($50 vs. $695 annual fees). This creates a "must-have" status for the membership among its core demographic: travelers who are affluent, active, and increasingly open to new destinations.[7]

Historical Financial Context: The 2021-2025 Transition Period

To appreciate the magnitude of the 2026 performance, one must examine the preceding five-year cycle. Between 2021 and 2025, Travelzoo navigated the recovery from global travel shutdowns while simultaneously funding the groundwork for the subscription model. This period was marked by steady revenue growth but high volatility in net income as the company balanced legacy advertising declines with the startup costs of the Club.

Five-Year Financial Performance Overview

Fiscal Year Total Revenue ($M) Gross Profit ($M) Operating Income ($M) Net Income ($M) Year-End Cash ($M)
2021 62.7 51.3 -1.3 0.9 43.8
2022 70.6 60.6 7.8 6.6 18.7
2023 84.5 73.5 15.6 12.4 15.7
2024 83.9 73.4 18.5 13.6 17.1
2025 91.7 73.6 6.9 4.7 10.0

[11, 12, 13]

The data indicates a clear narrative: revenue expanded from $62.7 million in 2021 to $91.7 million in 2025, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10%.[13, 14] However, the 2025 fiscal year saw a dramatic contraction in profitability. Operating income fell from $18.5 million in 2024 to $6.9 million in 2025, a 62.7% decrease.[12] This was not a failure of the business model but an intentional "spend-down" of cash to fuel member acquisition.

By the end of 2025, Travelzoo’s cash and investments had dwindled to $10.0 million from a peak of $81.0 million in mid-2021.[11] This aggressive utilization of capital was directed toward "Subscriber Marketing," which hit a peak acquisition cost (CAC) of $40 per member in the third quarter of 2025.[9, 15] At that $40 CAC, the company was essentially breaking even on the first-year membership fee ($40 at the time), relying entirely on future renewals and transactional commissions to generate a profit.

The Fourth Quarter 2025: Maximum Friction and the "Profitability Paradox"

The quarter ended December 31, 2025, was the nadir of the transition's financial optics. Travelzoo reported revenue of $22.5 million, up 9% year-over-year, yet its net income plummeted to a mere $19,000, or $0.00 per share.[16, 17] This performance fell significantly short of the consensus analyst estimate of $0.11 per share, leading to immediate downward pressure on the stock price in early 2026.[18]

Q4 2025 Segmental Operating Performance

Segment Q4 2025 Revenue ($M) Q4 2025 Op. Profit/Loss ($M) YoY Margin Change
North America 14.8 1.5 33% to 10%
Europe 6.3 -1.0 3% to -16%
Jack's Flight Club 1.3 0.15 Stable
New Initiatives 0.016 -0.034 N/A

[16, 17]

The Europe segment was the primary drag on the consolidated results, posting a $1.0 million loss despite 16% revenue growth.[16, 17] Management explicitly attributed this loss to the "immediate expensing of marketing costs" for new Club Members in European markets.[16] In North America, while the segment remained profitable, margins compressed from 33% to 10% as the company prioritized the conversion of its legacy member base before the 2026 price increase.[16]

The underlying trend in Q4 2025 was a deliberate sacrifice of current-period GAAP earnings to secure future-period recurring revenue. This is a common strategy among high-growth SaaS and subscription companies, but it requires a sophisticated investor base to overlook the lack of immediate EPS in favor of "unit economics."

The First Quarter 2026: The Inflection Realized

The announcement of the first quarter 2026 results on April 23, 2026, marked a dramatic reversal of the Q4 2025 disappointment. Travelzoo reported an EPS of $0.23, beating the consensus estimate of $0.16 by over 43%.[5, 6, 19] This massive earnings beat occurred despite a slight revenue miss, with actual revenue coming in at $24.3 million against expectations of $24.5 million.[4, 19]

The divergence between the slight revenue miss and the significant earnings beat is the "second-order" insight critical to the Travelzoo thesis. It indicates that the company is becoming more efficient at extracting profit from its existing base rather than simply buying revenue through marketing spend.

Q1 2026 Financial Highlights

  • Consolidated Revenue: $24.3 million (up 5% YoY).[6]
  • Membership Fee Revenue: $4.6 million (nearly double the $2.4 million in Q1 2025).[5]
  • GAAP Operating Income: $3.4 million (14% margin).[5]
  • Non-GAAP Operating Income: $3.5 million (excludes $35k stock option and $15k severance).[6]
  • Operating Cash Flow: $3.9 million (up from $3.3 million in Q1 2025).[4]
  • Deferred Revenue: Rose to $10.7 million, providing visibility into the next three quarters.[4]

The market’s reaction—a 29% surge in pre-market trading—reflected a realization that the "J-curve" had reached its upward slope.[5, 6] The 112% year-over-year growth in Club Members provided the scale necessary to support the company’s fixed cost base, while the sequential improvement in operating margin (from 8% average in 2025 to 14% in Q1 2026) suggested that the heavy-investment phase was tapering.[5]

Unit Economics: The "Flywheel" of the Club Model

The primary driver of the Q1 2026 success was the optimization of the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) relative to the Average Revenue Per User (ARPU). In Q1 2026, Travelzoo achieved an average CAC of $27 per member in the U.S. market, a significant improvement from the $40 observed in Q3 2025 and $34 in Q4 2025.[9, 19]

The Lifecycle of a Q1 2026 New Member

When a new member joined on March 15, 2026, paying the $50 annual fee, the financial impact was immediate and tiered:

  1. Immediate Cash Inflow: $50.00.[7]
  2. Immediate Marketing Expense: ~$27.00.[5]
  3. Net Cash Benefit in Q1: +$23.00 (ignoring transaction commissions).
  4. GAAP Revenue Recognition in Q1: ~$2.00 (representing roughly 15 days of the 365-day subscription).[7]
  5. GAAP "Loss" in Q1: $2.00 (Rev) - $27.00 (Exp) = -$25.00.[7]

However, this same member generated an additional $14.00 in transaction revenue (commissions) in the same quarter they joined.[5, 10] When adding this $14.00, the "real-world" contribution of the member in their first quarter becomes positive.

Unit Economic Payback Matrix

Metric Amount Accounting Treatment
Upfront Membership Fee $50.00 Cash inflow; Liability on Balance Sheet.
Avg. Transaction Rev (Q1) $14.00 Immediate Revenue and Cash.
Total Cash Received $64.00 Positive Liquidity Event.
Cost of Acquisition (CAC) -$27.00 Immediate Expense on Income Statement.
Net Cash Payback (Q1) $37.00 Immediate 137% ROI on Cash.

[5, 7, 10, 19]

This matrix reveals why management was willing to report $0.00 EPS in Q4 2025. Each member acquired was a high-return investment. As these members move into their second year, the $27 CAC drops to zero, while the $50 renewal fee and the $14+ in annual transactions flow directly to the bottom line (minus marginal service costs). Management noted that renewals carry "no acquisition costs," which is the fundamental driver of the expected margin expansion to historical levels of 22% or higher.[5, 7]

Regional and Segment Deep Dive: Diversification vs. Focus

Travelzoo’s segmental performance in Q1 2026 highlights a strategy of using the profitable North American core to fund expansion in Europe and experimental "New Initiatives."

North America: The Engine of Growth

North America revenue grew 4% to $15.7 million in Q1 2026.[1, 6] The 21% operating margin, while lower than the 24% seen in Q1 2025, reflects the continued heavy investment in new member acquisition.[4] North America is the testing ground for the $50 price point and the new Allianz travel hotline. The high profitability here effectively subsidizes the global transition.

Europe: The Recovery Play

The European segment has historically been more sensitive to marketing fluctuations. In Q1 2026, Europe revenue increased 8% to $7.3 million, and it achieved a small operating profit of $279,000.[1, 6] This is a critical psychological win for the company, as it proves the membership model can work across different regulatory and cultural environments in Europe.

Jack's Flight Club (JFC)

JFC, the 60%-owned flight deal subscription service, remains a stable but slow-growing component. Revenue increased 2% to $1.3 million.[1, 6] However, the unit swung to an operating loss of $48,000 from a profit of $12,000 in the prior-year period.[1, 6] The stagnation in JFC’s premium subscriber base suggests that the "flight-only" niche may be reaching saturation or facing increased competition from free alternatives like Google Flights.

New Initiatives and Licensing: The Asset-Light Frontier

Travelzoo has licensed its brand in Australia, Japan, New Zealand, and Singapore.[8] In Q1 2026, licensing revenue reached $17,000 (specifically $10k from Australia and $7k from Japan).[1, 6] While numerically insignificant today, these royalties are pure profit and allow Travelzoo to maintain a global footprint with zero capital at risk.

The primary "New Initiative" for 2026 is Travelzoo META. Management confirmed a launch date in Q2 2026 for the first immersive experiences.[10, 20] The strategic goal of META is twofold: first, to provide a unique "Club Benefit" that justifies the $50 fee; and second, to capture the "discovery" phase of travel planning in a way that traditional 2D websites cannot. By integrating META as a benefit of the membership, Travelzoo creates a "tech-forward" brand image that appeals to the 38% of its members who are between the ages of 18-44.[7]

The Competitive Moat: Expert Vetting in the Age of AI

A critical risk frequently cited by bears is the rise of AI-powered travel planning. If a consumer can ask a chatbot to find the best deals, what is the value of a paid membership? Travelzoo’s counter-argument lies in the "Human Element" and "Negotiated Exclusivity."

Expert Vetting vs. Algorithmic Search

Search Type Mechanism Consumer Value
AI / Algorithmic Search Aggregates publicly available data; prices can change in minutes. Efficiency and breadth of choice.
Travelzoo Expert Vetting Humans negotiate deals specifically for members; deals are "locked in." Exclusivity, trust, and curated inspiration.

[7, 21]

Travelzoo's "deal experts" rigorously vet thousands of offers to ensure they represent true value. This vetting process creates a trust-based relationship that is difficult for a generic AI to replicate. Furthermore, many of Travelzoo’s "Club Offers" are negotiated directly with suppliers (e.g., $299 for 4 nights in the Azores w/ flights) and are not listed on OTAs like Booking.com or Expedia.[7]

This human-centric moat is reinforced by the company's demographic profile. Travelzoo members are affluent and "likely to book an unplanned trip with an attractive offer" (88% agreement rate).[7] This makes Travelzoo a valuable partner for hotels and airlines looking to fill inventory during off-peak periods without devaluing their brand on public discount sites.

Market Positioning and Peer Comparison

The travel subscription market is highly concentrated, with eDreams ODIGEO and its "Prime" program serving as the primary benchmark. eDreams has achieved over 7.7 million members and a Net Promoter Score (NPS) of 61 in key markets like Italy.[22, 23]

Travelzoo, while smaller in terms of total paid subscribers compared to eDreams Prime, possesses a much larger potential conversion pool through its 30 million travelers.[1] The primary difference lies in the ARPU and the "luxury" vs. "utility" positioning. eDreams Prime focuses on flight and hotel discounts for the mass market, whereas Travelzoo focuses on "experiences" for a more affluent traveler.[7, 24]

Sector and Competitor Metrics (As of April 2026)

Company Market Cap ($M) P/E Ratio Net Margin Institutional Ownership
Travelzoo (TZOO) 123.1 18.0 5.1% 27.4%
DHI Group (DHX) 150.0 N/A -10.3% 69.3%
Marchex (MCHX) 45.0 N/A -11.5% Low
eDreams ODIGEO Mid-Cap N/A Variable High

[12, 19, 25]

Travelzoo’s P/E ratio of 18 and its positive net margin set it apart from many smaller "internet software & services" peers who are struggling with profitability.[25, 26] The company’s "Financial Health" is rated as "GREAT" by third-party analysts, supported by a balance sheet that holds more cash than debt ($11.3M cash vs. ~$6M debt).[18, 19]

Shareholder Value and Capital Allocation

Despite the cash-intensive pivot, Travelzoo has remained committed to returning capital to shareholders. During the first quarter of 2026, the company repurchased 500,000 shares of its common stock.[1, 3, 6] This follows a pattern of opportunistic buybacks throughout 2024 and 2025.

Impact of Share Repurchases on Capital Structure

Period Shares Repurchased Avg. Impact on Share Count Cash Utilized ($M)
Q1 2026 500,000 4.6% reduction (approx) $3.3 (est)
FY 2025 Multiple tranches ~10% reduction YoY ~$11.4
Q1 2026 Ending Count 10.8M (Basic) N/A N/A

[4, 6, 27]

The aggressive repurchase program has resulted in a declining share count, which is highly accretive to EPS.[4] By reducing the denominator, management is ensuring that as the "J-curve" turns upward and net income grows, the per-share earnings will explode. This capital allocation strategy signals management’s belief that the stock remains undervalued relative to its future subscription-led earnings power.

Governance and Insider Activity: The Bartel Influence

Governance at Travelzoo is deeply intertwined with the Bartel family. Founder Ralph Bartel holds a significant controlling interest through Azzurro Capital Inc and the Ralph Bartel 2005 Trust.[28] While Azzurro Capital has been a net seller of shares in recent quarters (selling 130,000 shares in late 2025/early 2026), CEO Holger Bartel has been a buyer, acquiring 200,000 shares in the open market.[29]

Recent Governance Milestones

  • 2026 Annual Meeting: Shareholders elected Ralph Bartel back to the Board of Directors, a move that signals a return to "Founder-Led" strategic oversight.[26, 30]
  • Executive Compensation: Shareholders approved a stock option grant for CEO Holger Bartel for 600,000 shares at an exercise price of $5.05.[26, 31] With the stock currently trading near $9.50, these options are deeply in-the-money, providing a powerful incentive for the CEO to maintain the current growth trajectory.
  • Say-on-Pay: The advisory resolution on executive compensation passed with a significant majority (6.2 million votes for vs. 170k against), indicating shareholder alignment with the board's strategy.[26]

Technical Performance and Market Sentiment

The technical outlook for TZOO changed dramatically following the April 23, 2026, earnings call. Prior to the report, the stock had pulled back 55% from its 52-week high, trading at roughly $7.36—below its 200-day moving average of $8.17.[32] The post-earnings rally of 29% pushed the stock to $9.52, a clear breakout.[6, 19]

Technical Indicators Post-Q1 2026

Indicator Value Signal
MA5 (Short Term) 7.39 Buy
MA50 (Medium Term) 6.79 Buy
MA200 (Long Term) 6.31 Strong Buy
Relative Strength Outperforming S&P 500 (5.2% vs 4.3% YTD) Bullish

[33, 34]

The "Alpha Signals" from proprietary AI models indicate that the stock has a 44% probability of outperforming the S&P 500 in the next three months.[35] While some analysts maintain a "Hold" rating due to the negative stockholders' equity, others see a significant upside. The analyst mean price target sits at $20.03, representing a potential upside of over 110% from the current price.[35, 36]

Risk Mitigation: Addressing the Geopolitical and Macro Headwinds

No travel company is immune to external shocks. In the Q1 2026 call, management highlighted that "advertising revenue was lower than expected" at the end of the quarter due to the war in Iran.[20] This acknowledgment underscores a fundamental truth: while membership fees provide a floor, the transactional and advertising components of the business remain sensitive to global instability.

The "War in Iran" Impact Analysis

The geopolitical tension in Iran caused a temporary decline in response rates among members for certain Middle Eastern and adjacent destinations.[20] However, Travelzoo’s model is more resilient to such shocks than traditional agencies because its members are "travel enthusiasts" who simply "pick other destinations" rather than canceling their travel plans altogether.[20] This destination-agnostic behavior allows Travelzoo to shift its marketing focus to safer havens (e.g., The Azores, Caribbean, Tuscany) without losing the customer.[7]

The Future Outlook: 2026 Guidance and Strategic Milestones

Management has provided a clear roadmap for the remainder of 2026. The key milestones include:

  1. Q2 2026 Revenue Growth: Expectation for year-over-year growth to continue as more legacy members convert and ratable fee recognition accelerates.[1, 3]
  2. Travelzoo META Launch: The first virtual experiences are expected in Q2, serving as a primary differentiator for the Club Membership.[10, 20]
  3. Membership Fee Share of Revenue: Guidance that membership fees will exceed 20% of total revenue for the full year 2026.[3, 10]
  4. Profitability Expansion: Expectation that as renewals become a larger portion of the member mix, margins will return to historical highs (22%+).[5, 7]

The long-term goal is to reach a state where the company’s operating expenses are fully covered by fixed membership fees, leaving all transactional and advertising revenue as pure profit. This "SaaS-ification" of travel would move Travelzoo from a 1x-2x revenue multiple to the much higher multiples typically reserved for recurring-revenue technology firms.

Nuanced Conclusions and Strategic Implications

The transformation of Travelzoo from a media aggregator to a subscription-based travel club is nearing completion. The first quarter of 2026 provided the empirical evidence required to validate the unit economics of the model. By reducing CAC to $27 while increasing the annual fee to $50, the company has created a high-margin engine that generates immediate cash flow even while showing GAAP accounting friction.

The strategic pivot was not without cost—as seen in the $0.00 EPS of Q4 2025 and the reduction in the company’s cash position—but the payoff is a much more stable and defensible business. The "Travel Enthusiast" audience is proving to be loyal and price-inelastic, accepting the $50 fee in exchange for high-value benefits like lounge access and the Allianz hotline.

For professional investors, the key takeaway is the "Deferred Revenue" account. At $10.7 million, this represents a reservoir of high-margin profit that will be released over the coming twelve months.[4] When combined with the "zero-cost" nature of membership renewals and the experimental upside of Travelzoo META, the company presents a compelling case of a legacy brand successfully reinventing itself for the digital subscription era. The "Profitability Paradox" is resolving in favor of the membership model, and 2026 is likely to be remembered as the year Travelzoo successfully decoupled its earnings from the volatility of the advertising market.

Final Summary of Findings

Critical Metric Q1 2026 Result Strategic Implication
Club Member Growth +112% YoY Scalability of the membership model is confirmed.
U.S. CAC $27 (Down from $40) Efficiency in marketing spend is improving.
Membership Fee Revenue $4.6M (19% of total) Stability of revenue base is increasing.
EPS (Diluted) $0.23 (Beat expectations) J-curve inflection point has been reached.
Share Buybacks 500,000 shares Management sees intrinsic value exceeding market price.

Travelzoo’s journey from 2021 to 2026 is a masterclass in corporate adaptation. While geopolitical risks and competitive pressures from giants like eDreams Prime remain, Travelzoo’s focus on human curation and affluent member benefits has created a niche that is both profitable and resilient. The road ahead suggests that as the company’s subscription model matures, it will benefit from a rare combination of recurring revenue, declining customer acquisition costs, and high barrier-to-entry through negotiated exclusivity. Investors who recognized the transition's "valley of despair" in 2025 are now being rewarded as the company enters a new phase of earnings growth and capital efficiency.


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  29. TRAVELZOO ($TZOO) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings | Quiver Quantitative, https://www.quiverquant.com/news/TRAVELZOO+%28%24TZOO%29+Releases+Q1+2026+Earnings
  30. Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) shareholders to vote on CEO and key executive option grants, https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/TZOO/def-14a-travelzoo-definitive-proxy-statement-b1e67bb58586.html
  31. tzoo-20260420 - SEC.gov, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1133311/000113331126000007/tzoo-20260420.htm
  32. Travelzoo Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call on April 23 at 11:00 AM ET - Stock Titan, https://www.stocktitan.net/news/TZOO/travelzoo-q1-2026-earnings-conference-call-on-april-23-at-11-00-am-0axp5gyybzmt.html
  33. TZOO Technical Analysis, RSI and Moving Averages - Investing.com, https://www.investing.com/equities/travelzoo-technical
  34. Travelzoo (TZOO) Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates - April 23, 2026 - Zacks.com, https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2906206/travelzoo-tzoo-q1-earnings-beat-estimates
  35. TZOO Stock AI Analysis - Travelzoo - Danelfin, https://danelfin.com/stock/TZOO
  36. TZOO Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Travelzoo - Alpha Spread, https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/tzoo/summary

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